Study of the Incentive Caused by the Scrappage Program in Accelerating Old-Car Replacement in Order to Reduce Gas Emissions from Gasoline Passenger Cars in Indonesia

Authors

  • Abdi Pratama Division of Sustainable Energy and Environmental Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Osaka University M3 Building, 2-1 Yamadaoka, Suita, Osaka 565-0871, Japan
  • Akihiro Tokai Division of Sustainable Energy and Environmental Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Osaka University M3 Building, 2-1 Yamadaoka, Suita, Osaka 565-0871, Japan
  • Kojima Naoya

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24203/ajas.v6i6.5580

Keywords:

emission, passenger car, policy control, scrappage, Indonesia

Abstract

This paper describes a scenario designed to reduce the emission level of non-euro cars that makes up more than 80% of the current car stock in 2013, even though the number of non-euro cars is only a maximum of 24% of the total population. We have applied an incentive for people to replace their non-euro car with a newer LCGC car through a scrappage program. Willingness to change was determined through a questionnaire to determine the respondent’s willingness to change to an LCGC car. From the survey, the financial aspect still dominated the motivation behind the replacement. This was shown from the choice of the highest incentive fee of $2,000 USD per unit. By applying 78% and 82% to describe the probability of changing to the LCGC car and the incentive option of $2,000 USD respectively, it was proven that the incentive program can reduce the population of non-euro cars. From the results, it can be seen that emission gases CO, NO, and HC decreased significantly; CO by 59.3%, NO by 68.1%, and HC by 35.4% compared to without the scrappage incentive program by 2030. Because each unit is replaced with a LCGC car, the population balance is zero. The increase of the emission level from the additional number of LCGC cars is not significant compared to the emissions from non-euro cars. We conclude that the incentive program for non-euro cars is one of the most effective ways to reduce the gas emission level.

References

Alberini A, Harrington W, McConnell V. (1996). Estimating an emissions supply function from accelerated vehicle retirement programs. Rev Econ Stat, 78, 251–265. doi: 10.2307/2109927

BenDor T, Ford A. (2006). Simulating a combination of feebates and scrappage incentives to reduce automobile emissions. Energy, 31, 1197–1214. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2005.05.024

Böckers V, Heimeshoff U, Müller A. (2012). Pull-Forward Effects in the German Car Scrappage Scheme : A Time Series Approach.

Borken-Kleefeld J, Chen Y. (2015). New emission deterioration rates for gasoline cars - Results from long-term measurements. Atmos Environ, 101, 58–64.

Boulter PG. (2009). Emission factors 2009: Report 6 – deterioration factors and other modelling assumptions for road vehicles.

BPS. (2013). Central Bureau of Statistics Report 2013. Central Bureau of Statistics Report : Number of Domestically Assembled Motor Vehicles (units), 2008-2013, https://www.bps.go.id/linkTabelStatis/view/id/1065.

Gaikindo. (2015). Automotive Car Association Report: Domestic Auto Market & Exim by Category 2015.

Hennessy H, Richard SJT. (2011). The impact of government policy on private car ownership in ireland. Econ Soc Rev (Irel), 42,135–157.

MOI. (2013). Decree of The Ministry Of Industry (MOI) No.33/M-IND/PER/7/2013.

Nicholas Cet al (1999) Accelerating Vehicle Replacement and Environment Protection. J Transp Econ Policy 33:pp.329-42.

Nugroho SB, Fujiwara A. (2005). Evaluating the Effects of a New Vehicle Emission Standard on Urban Air Quality in Jakarta City. J Int Dev Coop, 11, 17–37.

Yamamoto T, Madre JL, Kitamura R. (2004). An analysis of the effects of French vehicle inspection program and grant for scrappage on household vehicle transaction. Transp Res Part B Methodol, 38, 905–926. doi: 10.1016/j.trb.2004.02.001

Downloads

Published

2018-12-19

How to Cite

Pratama, A., Tokai, A., & Naoya, K. (2018). Study of the Incentive Caused by the Scrappage Program in Accelerating Old-Car Replacement in Order to Reduce Gas Emissions from Gasoline Passenger Cars in Indonesia. Asian Journal of Applied Sciences, 6(6). https://doi.org/10.24203/ajas.v6i6.5580

Issue

Vol. 6 No. 6 (2018): December 2018

Section

Articles

License

  • Papers must be submitted on the understanding that they have not been published elsewhere (except in the form of an abstract or as part of a published lecture, review, or thesis) and are not currently under consideration by another journal published by any other publisher.
  • It is also the authors responsibility to ensure that the articles emanating from a particular source are submitted with the necessary approval.
  • The authors warrant that the paper is original and that he/she is the author of the paper, except for material that is clearly identified as to its original source, with permission notices from the copyright owners where required.
  • The authors ensure that all the references carefully and they are accurate in the text as well as in the list of references (and vice versa).
  • Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
  • Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
  • Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).
  • The journal/publisher is not responsible for subsequent uses of the work. It is the author's responsibility to bring an infringement action if so desired by the author.